After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 3

Cagliari – Lecce

Score: Cagliari 1, Lecce 0

Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Cagliari

Match context

  • Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 45%
Most likely scoreline was 1-0 · exactly right

Cagliari
45%
Draws
30%
Lecce
25%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 20Shots10
  • 11On target3
  • 2Big chances0
  • 1.92Total xG0.45

CagliarixG and shot data: understat.comLecce

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsCagliari — 28'1.920.45
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Cagliari0.090.591.081.231.461.921.92
Lecce0.000.140.220.300.300.350.45
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

CagliariLecce

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Caprile
Obert
Deiola
Rodriguez
Figueiredo
Romano
Winks
Adopo
1
Maldini
Fazzini
Mendy
Falcone
Gallo
Gaspar
Gabriel
Veiga
Ilic
Ngom
Monteiro
Coulibaly
Pierotti
Stulic
Cagliari· 4-3-2-1Lecce· 4-2-3-1

Head to Head

Cagliari
3
Draws
4
Lecce
2

9 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 0Wat Cagliari2026/27
  2. 0 – 2Lat Cagliari2025/26
  3. 1 – 2Wat Lecce2025/26
  4. 4 – 1Wat Cagliari2024/25
  5. 1 – 0Lat Lecce2024/25
  6. 1 – 1Dat Cagliari2023/24
  7. 1 – 1Dat Lecce2023/24
  8. 0 – 0Dat Cagliari2019/20
  9. 2 – 2Dat Lecce2019/20

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made