Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 33
Genoa – Sassuolo
Stadio Luigi Ferraris (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 33,205. City: Genoa. Opened: 1911. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Genoa ↓ · Sassuolo → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | Most Likely Result: 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (12.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 1.27
- Expected Points
- 1.48 – 1.25
- Both Teams to Score
- 55.2%
- Over 2.5
- 50.7%
- Under 2.5
- 49.3%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Genoa haven't lost to Sassuolo in their last 6 meetings (4W, 2D).
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Genoa
- 8
- Draws
- 5
- Sassuolo
- 7
20 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Genoa finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.