Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 32
Fiorentina – Parma
Stadio Artemio Franchi (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 43,147. City: Florence. Opened: 1931. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Fiorentina ↓ · Parma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 12.8% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (12.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.58 – 0.90
- Expected Points
- 1.85 – 0.89
- Both Teams to Score
- 47.6%
- Over 2.5
- 45.1%
- Under 2.5
- 54.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Fiorentina have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Fiorentina have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Fiorentina
- 2
- Draws
- 6
- Parma
- 4
12 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Fiorentina finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.