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 Week 31
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 31

Parma – Como

Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Parma
17%
Draws
26%
Como
57%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Parma ↓ · Como →0123456
09.8%Most Likely Result: 14.7%12.1%6.5%2.6%0.8%0.2%
16.7%11.9%9.2%4.9%2.0%0.6%0.2%
22.7%4.3%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.1%
30.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (14.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76 – 1.60
Expected Points
0.77 – 1.97
Both Teams to Score
42.9%
Over 2.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
58.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Parma

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Parma
0
Draws
2
Como
3

5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Lat Como2026/27
  2. 1 – 0Lat Como2025/26
  3. 0 – 0Dat Parma2025/26
  4. 0 – 1Lat Parma2024/25
  5. 1 – 1Dat Como2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made