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 Week 29
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 29

Parma – Lazio

Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Parma
21%
Draws
27%
Lazio
52%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Parma ↓ · Lazio →0123456
09.6%Most Likely Result: 13.5%10.6%5.4%2.0%0.6%0.2%
17.5%12.6%9.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%0.1%
23.5%5.3%4.0%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.1%
31.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87 – 1.52
Expected Points
0.90 – 1.83
Both Teams to Score
45.9%
Over 2.5
42.8%
Under 2.5
57.2%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Parma

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

Lazio

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Parma
1
Draws
2
Lazio
10

13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Lat Lazio2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Lazio2025/26
  3. 0 – 1Lat Parma2025/26
  4. 2 – 2Dat Lazio2024/25
  5. 3 – 1Wat Parma2024/25
  6. 1 – 0Lat Lazio2020/21
  7. 0 – 2Lat Parma2020/21
  8. 0 – 1Lat Parma2019/20
  9. 2 – 0Lat Lazio2019/20
  10. 4 – 1Lat Lazio2018/19

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made