Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 28
Parma – Lecce
Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.
Predicted line-ups are unavailable right now.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Parma ↓ · Lecce → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.4% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 15.3% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (15.3%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 0.84
- Expected Points
- 1.57 – 1.11
- Both Teams to Score
- 39.0%
- Over 2.5
- 31.6%
- Under 2.5
- 68.4%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context is unavailable right now.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Parma
- 3
- Draws
- 1
- Lecce
- 2
6 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.