Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 28
Frosinone – Monza
Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Frosinone ↓ · Monza → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.5% | Most Likely Result: 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 1 (9.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.09 – 1.29
- Expected Points
- 1.88 – 0.91
- Both Teams to Score
- 63.9%
- Over 2.5
- 65.5%
- Under 2.5
- 34.5%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 11 cards in the last 2 meetings.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Frosinone
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Monza
- 1
2 Serie A meetings, 2023/24 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.