Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 27
Juventus – Roma
Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Juventus ↓ · Roma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | Most Likely Result: 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.11
- Expected Points
- 1.46 – 1.25
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.2%
- Over 2.5
- 41.8%
- Under 2.5
- 58.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Juventus haven't lost to Roma in their last 6 meetings (2W, 4D).
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Juventus
- 11
- Draws
- 8
- Roma
- 5
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.