Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Parma – Sassuolo
Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Parma ↓ · Sassuolo → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | Most Likely Result: 12.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (12.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.34
- Expected Points
- 1.33 – 1.40
- Both Teams to Score
- 54.0%
- Over 2.5
- 49.0%
- Under 2.5
- 51.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Parma
- 4
- Draws
- 3
- Sassuolo
- 3
10 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.