Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Como – Milan
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 13,602. City: Como. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Como ↓ · Milan → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | Most Likely Result: 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.16
- Expected Points
- 1.54 – 1.19
- Both Teams to Score
- 52.2%
- Over 2.5
- 47.1%
- Under 2.5
- 52.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 20 cards in the last 4 meetings.
- Como have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Milan have scored in 13 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Como
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Milan
- 3
4 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Como finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.