Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 25
Sassuolo – Roma
Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Sassuolo ↓ · Roma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.5% | Most Likely Result: 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (10.2%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 2.03
- Expected Points
- 0.80 – 1.98
- Both Teams to Score
- 57.6%
- Over 2.5
- 59.8%
- Under 2.5
- 40.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 25 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Sassuolo
- 2
- Draws
- 8
- Roma
- 13
23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.