Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 24
Udinese – Venezia
Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Udinese ↓ · Venezia → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 13.6% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (13.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 0.88
- Expected Points
- 1.78 – 0.94
- Both Teams to Score
- 45.4%
- Over 2.5
- 41.4%
- Under 2.5
- 58.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 28 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Udinese
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Venezia
- 2
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.