Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 23
Venezia – Genoa
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Venezia ↓ · Genoa → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6% | Most Likely Result: 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 1 (14.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.92 – 1.19
- Expected Points
- 1.14 – 1.56
- Both Teams to Score
- 42.3%
- Over 2.5
- 35.3%
- Under 2.5
- 64.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Venezia
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Genoa
- 2
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.