Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 23
Inter – Cagliari
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Cagliari → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (12.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.60 – 0.72
- Expected Points
- 2.46 – 0.39
- Both Teams to Score
- 47.7%
- Over 2.5
- 63.8%
- Under 2.5
- 36.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Cagliari in their last 13 meetings (11W, 2D).
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 16
- Draws
- 2
- Cagliari
- 3
21 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.