Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 22
Lazio – Venezia
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lazio ↓ · Venezia → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 13.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (13.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.93 – 0.68
- Expected Points
- 2.21 – 0.57
- Both Teams to Score
- 42.5%
- Over 2.5
- 48.3%
- Under 2.5
- 51.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Lazio haven't lost to Venezia in their last 5 meetings (4W, 1D).
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lazio
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Venezia
- 0
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.