Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 21
Inter – Venezia
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Venezia → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (13.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.76 – 0.58
- Expected Points
- 2.59 – 0.28
- Both Teams to Score
- 41.2%
- Over 2.5
- 63.9%
- Under 2.5
- 36.1%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter haven't lost to Venezia in their last 5 meetings (5W, 0D).
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 5
- Draws
- 0
- Venezia
- 0
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.