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 Week 19
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 19

Torino – Atalanta

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
25%
Draws
25%
Atalanta
50%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Atalanta →0123456
06.9%10.2%8.8%4.8%2.0%0.7%0.2%
16.6%Most Likely Result: 12.1%9.6%5.3%2.2%0.7%0.2%
23.8%6.3%5.2%2.9%1.2%0.4%0.1%
31.4%2.3%1.9%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (12.1%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09 – 1.65
Expected Points
1.00 – 1.75
Both Teams to Score
54.0%
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Atalanta

  1. L
  2. D
  3. D
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
7
Draws
7
Atalanta
10

24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 0Lat Atalanta2025/26
  2. 0 – 3Lat Torino2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Atalanta2024/25
  4. 2 – 1Wat Torino2024/25
  5. 3 – 0Lat Atalanta2023/24
  6. 3 – 0Wat Torino2023/24
  7. 1 – 2Lat Torino2022/23
  8. 3 – 1Lat Atalanta2022/23
  9. 4 – 4Dat Atalanta2021/22
  10. 1 – 2Lat Torino2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made