Week 18
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 18

Lecce – Parma

Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Lecce
33%
Draws
32%
Parma
35%
Challenge the Model

Predicted line-ups are unavailable right now.

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Lecce ↓ · Parma →0123456
0Most Likely Result: 14.7%13.7%7.1%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%
113.1%14.0%6.7%2.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%
26.5%6.5%3.2%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%
32.1%2.1%1.0%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
40.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 0 (14.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95 – 1.00
Expected Points
1.30 – 1.37
Both Teams to Score
39.3%
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Lecce

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Parma

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Lecce
2
Draws
1
Parma
3

6 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 2Lat Lecce2025/26
  2. 0 – 1Wat Parma2025/26
  3. 1 – 3Wat Parma2024/25
  4. 2 – 2Dat Lecce2024/25
  5. 3 – 4Lat Lecce2019/20
  6. 2 – 0Lat Parma2019/20

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made