Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 17
Roma – Frosinone
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Roma ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 9.1% | Most Likely Result: 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 1 (9.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.27 – 1.08
- Expected Points
- 2.10 – 0.70
- Both Teams to Score
- 59.5%
- Over 2.5
- 64.7%
- Under 2.5
- 35.3%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma haven't lost to Frosinone in their last 6 meetings (6W, 0D).
- Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Roma
- 6
- Draws
- 0
- Frosinone
- 0
6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.