Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Sassuolo – Parma
Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Sassuolo ↓ · Parma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | Most Likely Result: 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (12.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.14
- Expected Points
- 1.63 – 1.11
- Both Teams to Score
- 53.6%
- Over 2.5
- 49.6%
- Under 2.5
- 50.4%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Sassuolo
- 3
- Draws
- 3
- Parma
- 4
10 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.