Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Roma – Juventus
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Roma ↓ · Juventus → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | Most Likely Result: 13.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.10
- Expected Points
- 1.47 – 1.24
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.1%
- Over 2.5
- 41.8%
- Under 2.5
- 58.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Roma
- 5
- Draws
- 8
- Juventus
- 11
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.