Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 15
Juventus – Monza
Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Juventus ↓ · Monza → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 13.3% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (13.3%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.13 – 0.72
- Expected Points
- 2.28 – 0.53
- Both Teams to Score
- 45.3%
- Over 2.5
- 53.8%
- Under 2.5
- 46.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus haven't lost to Monza in their last 4 meetings (4W, 0D).
- Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Juventus
- 4
- Draws
- 0
- Monza
- 2
6 Serie A meetings, 2022/23 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.