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 Week 15
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 15

Cagliari – Venezia

Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Cagliari
47%
Draws
29%
Venezia
24%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Cagliari ↓ · Venezia →0123456
011.0%9.0%4.2%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 13.8%13.3%5.7%1.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
29.6%8.7%3.9%1.2%0.3%0.0%0.0%
34.3%3.9%1.8%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
41.5%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.4%0.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (13.8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35 – 0.90
Expected Points
1.69 – 1.02
Both Teams to Score
44.4%
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Cagliari

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Cagliari
1
Draws
2
Venezia
1

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 3 – 0Wat Cagliari2024/25
  2. 2 – 1Lat Venezia2024/25
  3. 0 – 0Dat Venezia2021/22
  4. 1 – 1Dat Cagliari2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made