Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 14
Monza – Como
U-Power Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 17,102. City: Monza. Opened: 1988. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Monza ↓ · Como → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 11.3% | Most Likely Result: 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 2 (11.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.87 – 1.95
- Expected Points
- 0.69 – 2.09
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.1%
- Over 2.5
- 53.3%
- Under 2.5
- 46.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Monza
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Como
- 1
2 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Monza finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.