After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 4

Sassuolo – Juventus

Score: Sassuolo 3, Juventus 2

Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Sassuolo

Match context

  • Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 20%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 3-2

Sassuolo
20%
Draws
25%
Juventus
55%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 10Shots18
  • 6On target8
  • 2Big chances1
  • 0.96Total xG1.18

SassuoloxG and shot data: understat.comJuventus

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsSassuolo — 64'Juventus — 81'Sassuolo — 88'Juventus — 90'Sassuolo — 93'0.961.18
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Sassuolo0.000.320.400.440.750.840.96
Juventus0.000.030.150.260.351.181.18
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

SassuoloJuventus

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Murić
Doig
Leysen
Idzes
Cinquegrano
Lipani
Matic
Laurienté
Thorstvedt
Berardi
1
Esposito
Vicario
Çelik
Bremer
Lucumí
Kyatengwa
Luiz
Koopmeiners
Alajbegović
González
Conceição
Muani
Sassuolo· 4-2-3-1Juventus· 4-2-3-1

Head to Head

Sassuolo
5
Draws
4
Juventus
14

23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 3 – 2Wat Sassuolo2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Juventus2025/26
  3. 0 – 3Lat Sassuolo2025/26
  4. 3 – 0Lat Juventus2023/24
  5. 4 – 2Wat Sassuolo2023/24
  6. 1 – 0Wat Sassuolo2022/23
  7. 3 – 0Lat Juventus2022/23
  8. 1 – 2Lat Sassuolo2021/22
  9. 1 – 2Wat Juventus2021/22
  10. 1 – 3Lat Sassuolo2020/21

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made