Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 38
Sassuolo – Inter
Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Sassuolo ↓ · Inter → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 7.6% | Most Likely Result: 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 2 (9.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 2.58
- Expected Points
- 0.56 – 2.27
- Both Teams to Score
- 59.5%
- Over 2.5
- 69.4%
- Under 2.5
- 30.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Sassuolo
- 10
- Draws
- 2
- Inter
- 10
22 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.