Week 38
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 38

Lecce – Venezia

Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Lecce
39%
Draws
32%
Venezia
29%
Challenge the Model

Predicted line-ups are unavailable right now.

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Lecce ↓ · Venezia →0123456
0Most Likely Result: 14.7%12.1%5.5%1.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
114.7%13.9%5.9%1.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
28.1%7.2%3.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
32.9%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
40.8%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 0 (14.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07 – 0.88
Expected Points
1.49 – 1.19
Both Teams to Score
39.0%
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context is unavailable right now.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Lecce

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Lecce
2
Draws
1
Venezia
0

3 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 2Wat Venezia2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Lecce2024/25
  3. 0 – 1Wat Venezia2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made