Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 37
Frosinone – Cagliari
Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Frosinone ↓ · Cagliari → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | Most Likely Result: 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.81 – 1.25
- Expected Points
- 1.74 – 1.02
- Both Teams to Score
- 60.0%
- Over 2.5
- 59.0%
- Under 2.5
- 41.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 27 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Frosinone
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Cagliari
- 3
5 Serie A meetings, 2018/19 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.