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 Week 36
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 36

Cagliari – Torino

Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Cagliari
34%
Draws
29%
Torino
37%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Cagliari ↓ · Torino →0123456
09.9%10.9%6.9%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
110.3%Most Likely Result: 13.6%8.0%3.2%1.0%0.2%0.0%
26.2%7.6%4.6%1.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%
32.4%2.9%1.8%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (13.6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15 – 1.21
Expected Points
1.31 – 1.40
Both Teams to Score
48.5%
Over 2.5
42.1%
Under 2.5
57.9%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Cagliari

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Cagliari
6
Draws
6
Torino
8

20 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Wat Cagliari2025/26
  2. 1 – 2Wat Torino2025/26
  3. 2 – 0Lat Torino2024/25
  4. 3 – 2Wat Cagliari2024/25
  5. 1 – 2Lat Cagliari2023/24
  6. 0 – 0Dat Torino2023/24
  7. 1 – 2Wat Torino2021/22
  8. 1 – 1Dat Cagliari2021/22
  9. 0 – 1Lat Cagliari2020/21
  10. 2 – 3Wat Torino2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made