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 Week 35
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 35

Venezia – Como

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Venezia
13%
Draws
23%
Como
64%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Venezia ↓ · Como →0123456
08.9%Most Likely Result: 14.9%13.7%8.2%3.7%1.3%0.4%
15.3%10.6%9.2%5.5%2.5%0.9%0.3%
21.9%3.4%3.1%1.9%0.8%0.3%0.1%
30.4%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (14.9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67 – 1.80
Expected Points
0.62 – 2.15
Both Teams to Score
41.2%
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Venezia
0
Draws
2
Como
1

3 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 0Lat Como2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Como2024/25
  3. 2 – 2Dat Venezia2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made