Week 35
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 35

Udinese – Juventus

Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Udinese
20%
Draws
26%
Juventus
54%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Udinese ↓ · Juventus →0123456
09.1%Most Likely Result: 13.5%11.1%5.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
17.0%12.2%9.4%5.0%2.0%0.6%0.2%
23.1%5.0%4.0%2.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%
30.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85 – 1.59
Expected Points
0.85 – 1.89
Both Teams to Score
46.0%
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Udinese

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Udinese
3
Draws
3
Juventus
18

24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Lat Udinese2025/26
  2. 3 – 1Lat Juventus2025/26
  3. 2 – 0Lat Juventus2024/25
  4. 0 – 2Lat Udinese2024/25
  5. 0 – 1Wat Juventus2023/24
  6. 0 – 3Lat Udinese2023/24
  7. 0 – 1Lat Udinese2022/23
  8. 1 – 0Lat Juventus2022/23
  9. 2 – 0Lat Juventus2021/22
  10. 2 – 2Dat Udinese2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made