Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 35
Inter – Lecce
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Lecce → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (14.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.56 – 0.57
- Expected Points
- 2.54 – 0.32
- Both Teams to Score
- 40.2%
- Over 2.5
- 59.8%
- Under 2.5
- 40.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Lecce in their last 10 meetings (9W, 1D).
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 9
- Draws
- 1
- Lecce
- 0
10 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.