Week 33
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 33

Venezia – Torino

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Venezia
26%
Draws
29%
Torino
44%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Venezia ↓ · Torino →0123456
011.4%Most Likely Result: 13.7%9.1%3.9%1.3%0.3%0.1%
19.6%13.5%8.4%3.6%1.2%0.3%0.1%
24.7%6.0%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%0.0%
31.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92 – 1.29
Expected Points
1.08 – 1.63
Both Teams to Score
44.1%
Over 2.5
38.0%
Under 2.5
62.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Venezia
1
Draws
2
Torino
1

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Torino2024/25
  2. 0 – 1Lat Venezia2024/25
  3. 1 – 2Wat Torino2021/22
  4. 1 – 1Dat Venezia2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made