Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 33
Lazio – Como
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lazio ↓ · Como → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.6% | Most Likely Result: 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.3%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.28
- Expected Points
- 1.30 – 1.42
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.9%
- Over 2.5
- 45.1%
- Under 2.5
- 54.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 29 cards in the last 4 meetings.
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lazio
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Como
- 2
4 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.