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 Week 32
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 32

Venezia – Juventus

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Venezia
13%
Draws
24%
Juventus
64%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Venezia ↓ · Juventus →0123456
09.9%Most Likely Result: 16.0%14.2%8.2%3.5%1.2%0.4%
15.6%10.7%8.9%5.1%2.2%0.8%0.2%
21.9%3.2%2.8%1.6%0.7%0.2%0.1%
30.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (16.0%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63 – 1.73
Expected Points
0.62 – 2.14
Both Teams to Score
38.7%
Over 2.5
41.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Juventus

  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Venezia
0
Draws
2
Juventus
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 3Lat Venezia2024/25
  2. 2 – 2Dat Juventus2024/25
  3. 2 – 1Lat Juventus2021/22
  4. 1 – 1Dat Venezia2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made