Week 30
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 30

Frosinone – Udinese

Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Frosinone
47%
Draws
24%
Udinese
29%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Frosinone ↓ · Udinese →0123456
04.8%5.6%4.0%1.8%0.6%0.2%0.0%
17.4%Most Likely Result: 10.9%7.1%3.2%1.1%0.3%0.1%
26.9%9.4%6.3%2.8%1.0%0.3%0.1%
34.1%5.6%3.7%1.7%0.6%0.2%0.0%
41.8%2.5%1.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
50.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
60.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (10.9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78 – 1.35
Expected Points
1.65 – 1.11
Both Teams to Score
61.9%
Over 2.5
60.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Frosinone

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

Udinese

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Frosinone
1
Draws
2
Udinese
3

6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Lat Frosinone2023/24
  2. 0 – 0Dat Udinese2023/24
  3. 1 – 3Lat Frosinone2018/19
  4. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2018/19
  5. 2 – 0Wat Frosinone2015/16
  6. 1 – 0Lat Udinese2015/16

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made