Juventus – Milan

Score: Juventus 1, Milan 1

dom 06 set, 20:45

Allianz StadiumCapacity41,507CityTurinOpened2011SurfaceGrass

Juventus

Milan

Match context

Milan have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Juventus haven't lost to Milan in their last 6 meetings (2W, 4D).

Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 27%
Most likely scoreline was 1-0 · actual 1-1

Juventus: 46%
Draws: 27%
Milan: 27%

Limits of the forecast

Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

14Shots3
6On target1
2Big chances0
1.73Total xG0.09

JuventusxG and shot data: understat.comMilan

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goals over time

Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams	15'	30'	45'	60'	75'	90'	Total xG
Juventus	0.06	0.68	0.97	1.04	1.04	1.28	1.73
Milan	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.10	0.10	0.10

How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Shot locations for this match

JuventusMilan

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.