After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 3

Bologna – Sassuolo

Score: Bologna 2, Sassuolo 2

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 36,462. City: Bologna. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Bologna

Match context

  • Bologna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Bologna haven't lost to Sassuolo in their last 6 meetings (3W, 3D).
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 25%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 2-2

Bologna
43%
Draws
25%
Sassuolo
32%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 21Shots15
  • 5On target6
  • 6Big chances3
  • 3.05Total xG1.85

BolognaxG and shot data: understat.comSassuolo

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsSassuolo — 18'Bologna — 49'Sassuolo — 55'Bologna — 90'3.051.85
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Bologna0.300.410.431.121.633.053.05
Sassuolo0.400.520.651.361.511.851.85
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

BolognaSassuolo

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Skorupski
Alhassane
Theate
Heggem
Holm
Ferguson
Pobega
Cambiaghi
Odgaard
Bernardeschi
1
Piccoli
Murić
1
Doig
Leysen
Idzes
Cinquegrano
Lipani
Matic
1
Adžić
Laurienté
Bowie
Volpato
Bologna· 4-2-3-1Sassuolo· 4-3-3

Head to Head

Bologna
9
Draws
7
Sassuolo
5

21 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Bologna finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 2Dat Bologna2026/27
  2. 0 – 1Wat Sassuolo2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Bologna2025/26
  4. 4 – 2Wat Bologna2023/24
  5. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2023/24
  6. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2022/23
  7. 3 – 0Wat Bologna2022/23
  8. 1 – 3Lat Bologna2021/22
  9. 0 – 3Wat Sassuolo2021/22
  10. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2020/21

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made