Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 29
Inter – Frosinone
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Frosinone → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.6% | Most Likely Result: 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 1 (8.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.89 – 1.03
- Expected Points
- 2.39 – 0.47
- Both Teams to Score
- 60.7%
- Over 2.5
- 74.2%
- Under 2.5
- 25.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Frosinone in their last 6 meetings (6W, 0D).
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 6
- Draws
- 0
- Frosinone
- 0
6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.