Week 28
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 28

Torino – Inter

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
15%
Draws
21%
Inter
64%
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Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Inter →0123456
05.6%10.5%Most Likely Result: 11.2%7.8%4.0%1.7%0.6%
14.3%9.9%9.9%6.9%3.6%1.5%0.5%
22.0%4.2%4.4%3.0%1.6%0.7%0.2%
30.6%1.2%1.3%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 2 (11.2%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88 – 2.07
Expected Points
0.65 – 2.14
Both Teams to Score
51.6%
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Inter

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
4
Draws
6
Inter
14

24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 2Dat Torino2025/26
  2. 5 – 0Lat Inter2025/26
  3. 0 – 2Lat Torino2024/25
  4. 3 – 2Lat Inter2024/25
  5. 2 – 0Lat Inter2023/24
  6. 0 – 3Lat Torino2023/24
  7. 0 – 1Lat Torino2022/23
  8. 1 – 0Lat Inter2022/23
  9. 1 – 1Dat Torino2021/22
  10. 1 – 0Lat Inter2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made