Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 28
Lazio – Juventus
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lazio ↓ · Juventus → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | Most Likely Result: 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.12 – 1.23
- Expected Points
- 1.27 – 1.44
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.2%
- Over 2.5
- 41.8%
- Under 2.5
- 58.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Lazio haven't lost to Juventus in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
- This fixture has produced 27 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lazio
- 6
- Draws
- 4
- Juventus
- 15
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.