Week 24
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 24

Torino – Sassuolo

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
43%
Draws
26%
Sassuolo
31%
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Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Sassuolo →0123456
06.3%7.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
18.8%Most Likely Result: 12.1%7.5%3.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
27.1%9.1%5.8%2.5%0.8%0.2%0.0%
33.7%4.7%3.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
50.4%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (12.1%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55 – 1.28
Expected Points
1.56 – 1.19
Both Teams to Score
57.2%
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Sassuolo

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
9
Draws
9
Sassuolo
5

23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Lat Sassuolo2026/27
  2. 2 – 1Wat Torino2025/26
  3. 0 – 1Wat Sassuolo2025/26
  4. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2023/24
  5. 2 – 1Wat Torino2023/24
  6. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2022/23
  7. 0 – 1Lat Torino2022/23
  8. 1 – 1Dat Torino2021/22
  9. 0 – 1Wat Sassuolo2021/22
  10. 3 – 2Wat Torino2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made