After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 2

Sassuolo – Torino

Score: Sassuolo 2, Torino 1

Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 21,525. City: Reggio Emilia. Opened: 1995. Surface: Grass.
Sassuolo

Match context

  • Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 39%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 2-1

Sassuolo
39%
Draws
26%
Torino
35%

Limits of the forecast

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 19Shots10
  • 8On target4
  • 1Big chances2
  • 1.55Total xG1.50

SassuoloxG and shot data: understat.comTorino

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsSassuolo — 31'Torino — 46'Sassuolo — 77'1.551.50
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Sassuolo0.080.310.911.161.251.421.55
Torino0.340.530.871.441.441.441.50
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

SassuoloTorino

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Murić
Doig
Leysen
Idzes
Cinquegrano
Bakola
Matic
Adžić
Laurienté
Bowie
1
Volpato
Mascardi
Cacciamani
Cömert
1
Comuzzo
Coco
Fortini
Gineitis
Fitz-Jim
Vlašić
Adams
Simeone
Sassuolo· 4-3-3Torino· 5-3-2

Head to Head

Sassuolo
5
Draws
9
Torino
9

23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Sassuolo finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Wat Sassuolo2026/27
  2. 2 – 1Lat Torino2025/26
  3. 0 – 1Lat Sassuolo2025/26
  4. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2023/24
  5. 2 – 1Lat Torino2023/24
  6. 1 – 1Dat Sassuolo2022/23
  7. 0 – 1Wat Torino2022/23
  8. 1 – 1Dat Torino2021/22
  9. 0 – 1Lat Sassuolo2021/22
  10. 3 – 2Lat Torino2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made