Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 23
Juventus – Sassuolo
Allianz Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 41,507. City: Turin. Opened: 2011. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Juventus ↓ · Sassuolo → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (11.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.08 – 0.87
- Expected Points
- 2.15 – 0.64
- Both Teams to Score
- 51.1%
- Over 2.5
- 56.3%
- Under 2.5
- 43.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Juventus haven't lost to Sassuolo in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
- Juventus have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Sassuolo have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Juventus
- 14
- Draws
- 4
- Sassuolo
- 5
23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Juventus finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.