Week 20
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 20

Lecce – Udinese

Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Lecce
30%
Draws
30%
Udinese
40%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Lecce ↓ · Udinese →0123456
011.8%13.0%8.1%3.2%1.0%0.2%0.0%
110.7%Most Likely Result: 13.8%7.9%3.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
25.5%6.6%3.9%1.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%
31.8%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (13.8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98 – 1.19
Expected Points
1.19 – 1.51
Both Teams to Score
44.1%
Over 2.5
37.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Lecce

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Udinese

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Lecce
4
Draws
2
Udinese
5

11 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 3Wat Udinese2026/27
  2. 2 – 1Wat Lecce2025/26
  3. 3 – 2Lat Udinese2025/26
  4. 0 – 1Lat Lecce2024/25
  5. 1 – 0Lat Udinese2024/25
  6. 0 – 2Lat Lecce2023/24
  7. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2023/24
  8. 1 – 0Wat Lecce2022/23
  9. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2022/23
  10. 1 – 2Wat Udinese2019/20

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made