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 Week 20
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 20

Cagliari – Como

Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Cagliari
18%
Draws
25%
Como
57%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Cagliari ↓ · Como →0123456
08.4%Most Likely Result: 13.1%11.4%6.4%2.7%0.9%0.3%
16.3%11.7%9.6%5.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
22.8%4.8%4.0%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
30.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.1%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84 – 1.69
Expected Points
0.79 – 1.96
Both Teams to Score
46.7%
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Cagliari

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Cagliari
0
Draws
2
Como
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 2Lat Cagliari2025/26
  2. 0 – 0Dat Como2025/26
  3. 3 – 1Lat Como2024/25
  4. 1 – 1Dat Cagliari2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made