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 Week 2
After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 2

Fiorentina – Frosinone

Score: Fiorentina 0, Frosinone 3

Stadio Artemio Franchi (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 43,147. City: Florence. Opened: 1931. Surface: Grass.
Fiorentina
Frosinone

Match context

  • Fiorentina have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • This fixture has produced 25 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 29%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 0-3

Fiorentina
47%
Draws
23%
Frosinone
29%

Limits of the forecast

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 25Shots12
  • 6On target6
  • 1Big chances3
  • 1.82Total xG1.95

FiorentinaxG and shot data: understat.comFrosinone

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsFrosinone — 25'Frosinone — 37'Frosinone — 67'1.821.95
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Fiorentina0.190.310.821.551.681.791.82
Frosinone0.101.021.291.381.781.951.95
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

FiorentinaFrosinone

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Gea
Valde
Pongracic
Drăgușin
Jiménez
Atta
Ndour
Oulaï
Gudmundsson
Pellegrino
Mastantuono
Palmisani
1
Bracaglia
Calvani
Monterisi
Oyono
Calò
Masini
Kvernadze
Schmid
Fini
2
Raimondo
Fiorentina· 4-3-3Frosinone· 4-2-3-1

Head to Head

Fiorentina
2
Draws
3
Frosinone
2

7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Fiorentina finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 3Lat Fiorentina2026/27
  2. 5 – 1Wat Fiorentina2023/24
  3. 1 – 1Dat Frosinone2023/24
  4. 0 – 1Lat Fiorentina2018/19
  5. 1 – 1Dat Frosinone2018/19
  6. 0 – 0Dat Frosinone2015/16
  7. 4 – 1Wat Fiorentina2015/16

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • This forecast was fitted after the match was played, by a model that had already seen the result. No forecast was stored before kickoff, so it flatters the model and should not be read as a prediction.
  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made