Week 17
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 17

Torino – Venezia

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
52%
Draws
28%
Venezia
20%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Venezia →0123456
010.7%7.9%3.4%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 14.6%12.7%5.0%1.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%
211.0%8.9%3.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
35.4%4.4%1.8%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
42.0%1.6%0.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (14.6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46 – 0.81
Expected Points
1.84 – 0.89
Both Teams to Score
43.2%
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
1
Draws
2
Venezia
1

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Torino2024/25
  2. 0 – 1Wat Venezia2024/25
  3. 1 – 2Lat Torino2021/22
  4. 1 – 1Dat Venezia2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made