Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Torino – Cagliari
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Torino ↓ · Cagliari → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | Most Likely Result: 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.3%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.02
- Expected Points
- 1.62 – 1.10
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.1%
- Over 2.5
- 42.8%
- Under 2.5
- 57.2%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Torino
- 8
- Draws
- 6
- Cagliari
- 6
20 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.