Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Lecce – Inter
Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lecce ↓ · Inter → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 12.2% | Most Likely Result: 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 2 (14.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.64 – 2.25
- Expected Points
- 0.44 – 2.38
- Both Teams to Score
- 42.8%
- Over 2.5
- 55.0%
- Under 2.5
- 45.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lecce
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Inter
- 9
10 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.